The second final meeting of delegations in Pakistan never took place and despite the "dust" that is mainly raised from the Oval Office, there is no agreement and a definitive solution to the war that began on February 28. However, this does not mean that there are no developments, and indeed those that for the first time - essentially - show a path - as with the forces involved and the past of the "asymmetric" Middle East, no one can be sure not for the coming years but also for the coming hours.
The American President, in his post on social media after the summit at the White House in the presence of top officials of his government and negotiators of his choice, also "passed" after Tehran's corresponding move at the new meeting in Islamabad. Without much effort, if anyone reads Trump's post, they realize three important changes.
The first has to do with the statement in which there is not the slightest exuberance, the slightest "crown" but only the element - a nail - or not so much - that underlines the fragmentation of the new Iranian administrative team. In the second, Donald Trump underlines that the ceasefire will last until the Iranian side submits a comprehensive proposal - solution and does not give a time horizon or the tone for the developments. Washington for the first time realistically seems to be changing strategy at this level and "throwing" the "hot potato" at Iran on the substance and not for the forms. In this way, the US is for the first time realistically pressuring Tehran, which itself should give a clear indication of whether or not it means what it is conveying to the US behind closed doors and through third parties.
Thirdly, Donald Trump this time does not seem to have made any "movement" backwards regarding Washington's military positions. What Tehran leaked minutes before the Presidential announcement about "signs of lifting the American blockade on the Persian Gulf" turned out to be wrong and is the first time that Tehran has been "offside". Trump will maintain the economic pressure as this way he will have the option of strengthening or easing it in case the Iranian proposal - if and when it is submitted - can "change" according to the American or even Israeli "I want".
At the end of this phase of the war, what the US and Israel started on February 28 does not seem to be closing and it would be bordering on the "paradox" for the data of those involved and the region if such a thing were to happen. What has happened is that Trump and with him the US seem to be choosing a change of strategy and this change seems to be the result of the prevalence of a different mindset in the very narrow circle of the American President. It is not certain that the line chosen has "pure authorship" and in no case will it be revealed whether Marco Rubio or Kushner managed to "win" impressions and points on Trump's side against Secretary of War Hexgeth. It is certain, however, that the change is visible and will concern the opposing camp much more than the pressures through "coronas" and threats.
Whatever the outcome of the negotiations, whatever the final time horizon and the steps that must be followed in order to end the second – larger and more violent – phase of the war that began as a 12-party one and several times risked escalating both temporally and geographically, the decision of the US and Iran not to attend Islamabad seems to have clearly "generated" more results and more substantial processes than yet another meeting without tangible results and progress.
Source: protothema.gr
