"I have never seen, heard or experienced elections so open to surprises as those of June 24 in my life. "Whatever the outcome, I will not be surprised," commented Hurriyet columnist Ahmet Hakan. However, this is the first time that no one can predict the outcome of the elections in Turkey, as all scenarios are open and the anxiety is peaking.
Although a few weeks ago most predicted that whatever happened, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan would win, now the climate is beginning to change and it is now being commented that "Erdogan's victory in the first round is not guaranteed." And the reason is the impressive election campaign of Muharrem Ince, which surprised, comment political analysts. While through the processes of his party's organs he had failed to stand for and be elected to the leadership of the Republican Party, now he has found a response from the party base, which embraces him in the squares. Yesterday's appearance in Smyrna with the participation of 2,5 thousand people was the culmination that today created a climate of euphoria in the opposition. "Did they hear the voices of the people in Greece?" Many wonder on social media giving the pulse of concentration.
Ince in the leadership of CHP
However, political analysts say that the alliance formula of the ruling AKP with the far-right MHP to overcome the 10% threshold problem that the far-right party may have faced has benefited the opposition parties more, creating a coalition that Meral Aksener's Good Party and Karamolaoglu's Islamic Bliss Party, even if they fail to cross the electoral threshold. This alliance of the Republican People's Party, which is considered Turkey's left-wing party, with an extreme right-wing party such as the Good Party and an Islamic party such as the Bliss Party, also favored the pro-Kurdish HDP because disgruntled left-wing voters are led to the HDP. to enter the Parliament, even though he does not participate in the opposition alliance. In this way, all opposition parties enter Parliament, which is not in favor of the AKP, which seeks a 300-seat majority in the Turkish parliament.
"Kilicdaroglu took strategic steps, either knowingly or unknowingly," political analysts say. However, whether Muharrem Ince loses or wins this election, everyone now says that he will definitely replace the head of the CHP with Kilicdaroglu, whom he could not overthrow in previous years from the party leadership.
Climate change
The climate has been reversed among the people as well. This is the first time you have heard supporters of Tayyip Erdogan express fears that their leader will not be elected and that the opposition will overthrow him. Still others who have supported Tayyip Erdogan in recent years are now openly saying they will not vote for him. Former adviser to former Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu and Armenian-born journalist Etienne Mahcupian said today he would vote for Muharrem Ince.
However, it is not just the wear and tear of 16 years in power, it is mainly the economy that has become a headache for Tayyip Erdogan. Inflation has soared.
The price of onion became a topic on social media after a tweet by Temel Karamolaoglou that said: "The dollar is 4,75 pounds, the onion 6,95"
This tweet has been played over 15,000 times. The price of onions has risen by 200% due to inflation and people can not buy onions, it is commented.
The latest polls today are again yielding conflicting results.
According to Sonar, Tayyip Erdogan gets 47% in the first round and Muharrem Ince 33%. The company sees a chance for Muharrem Ince to win the second round.
On the other hand, KONDA predicts that Tayyip Erdogan will be elected in the first round with 51,9% and Muhammer Ince will receive 28%, Meral Aksener 10,2%.
For the Parliament, it predicts that the AKP receives 45,5%, the CHP 26,1%, the HDP 11,6%, the Good Party 8,5%, MHP 7,3%.
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