The DISY-AKEL gap closes, DIKO is consolidated for the third time

CEB1 3 Parliamentary Elections 2016, News
Extremely interesting findings are recorded in the GPO poll conducted on behalf of AKEL, in view of the parliamentary elections, one month after the announcement of his ballot and the start of his election campaign. The gap that separates the party of the Left with the first Democratic Alarm closes in almost two units (1,7%). In the third place is stable DIKO without appearing to be threatened by another party. The absolute derby seems to be played for the fourth place on the party map, as EDEK and the Citizens' Alliance draw.

CEB1 1552 Parliamentary Elections 2016, News

In the intention to vote, DISY gathers a percentage of 22,5% and maintains a small lead of 1,7 points from AKEL, whose percentage amounts to 20,8%.

DIKO has a percentage of 9,5%. EDEK with 4,2% now has next to it the Citizens' Alliance with the same percentage, 4,2%. Ecologists follow closely with 3%. EUROCO and Solidarity were measured separately before the decision on cooperation and it seems that it is the third political force that will claim the fourth place on the map if it collects as a common ballot the percentages that ensure as separate political entities 2% plus 2%. ELAM has 2,8%.

An important element, as noted by Takis Theodorikakos of the GPO, is that "the space of undecided voting forms a cumulative body of voters of 27,8% that creates great political liquidity with many gray and unclear spaces. It is clear that there are serious gaps in political representation and tendencies to strengthen abstention. DISY registers a small lead, but the liquidity of the political scene is such that it does not allow safe assessments and leaves a lot of room for how the parliamentary elections will unfold ".

The ruling party continues to collect the most positive votes in terms of management in the Cyprus issue (DISY 27,2% - AKEL 24,5%), in dealing with the financial crisis (DISY 33,9% - AKEL 21,2% ), on the issue of the operation of the stores (DISY 32,5% - AKEL 26,5%), in the General Health Plan (DISY 21,1% - AKEL 18,9%). The Left Party is regaining the confidence of a significant portion of society in the management of social issues, where it has traditionally outperformed other parties. AKEL's policies that are viewed positively by the citizens are: social policy (AKEL 30,6% - DISY 27,4%) and the sale of property (AKEL 24,2% - DISY 18,4%). In the disputed issue of privatization management, a difference is recorded far below the unit (0,3%), AKEL 28,8% against 28,5% of DISY.

The two major parties are losing electoral power and their big bet is whether they will be able to motivate traditional voters and not go to the polls on May 22 and vote. To date, there seems to be no incentive to push those who choose to abstain, to exercise their right to vote and even in favor of strong traditional formations. Voters vote for small parties and it is possible that this tendency to have a more multi-party Parliament will continue and strengthen.

In AKEL they hold as a trump card the fact that his opponent -DISY- records a decline in the management of economic and social issues in relation to the percentages he gathered as a ruling party as well as the President of the Republic compared to 2013. Like the pressure they receive as rulers of the lower and middle income strata, where the Left party excels in regaining power. Of course, AKEL also has losses from traditional voters who in a series of electoral contests choose not to return.

Congratulations to Andros from 55%

In Hezekiah Papaioannou, they record the visit of General Secretary Andros Kyprianou to Istanbul and the meeting he had with the Turkish Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mevlüt Tsavousoglu.

When asked how the visit is valued, 55% were positive and 40% negative. The vast majority of AKEL voters saw the action positively. Six out of ten DISY voters gave a positive sign. One in three EDEK voters and one in four DIKO voters welcomed the visit.

The vast majority of citizens saw positively the visit of President Anastasiadis to Davos. 65% gave a positive sign, while the negative amounted to 29%. The main volume of those who positively evaluated the presence in the economic forum, comes from DISY and AKEL. A large portion of the voters who come from DIKO and EDEK are presented by the public positions of their leaderships, since 4 out of ten gave a positive sign.

The financial crisis is still "headache"

The economic crisis is leading the way in the problems that concern public opinion, although there is a slight decline compared to last July. 64% rank the crisis at the top of the problems they face on a personal level compared to 66,7%. The Cyprus issue is in second place with 50,5% significantly elevated, since in the previous survey 44,1% had recorded it as the main problem it faces. Unemployment is the third main problem of Cypriots. And at the present time it employs more people than before, since from 33,7% the percentage went up to 35,6%.

The health sector with known problems is increasingly occupying public opinion. From 16,4% the percentage of those who rank it as the main problem amounted to 25,8%. Education employs 10,3%, pensions and the insurance system 9,3%, security issues 8,5%. Immigrants are recorded as a problem for 7,4%.

The investigation is ringing the bell for President Anastasiadis who seems to be convincing half the population for his economic policy as well as his management in the Cyprus issue. Positive valuation is shrinking compared to previous research. The circumstances with the absence of visible progress in the Cyprus issue and the widespread inflammatory statements on the Turkish side, the state of unrest in the wider region as well as Erdogan's attempt to become the ruler of the Eastern Mediterranean and Islam favor the supporters of the hard line in the nation. And this is reflected in the evaluation of the presidential management.

As far as the economy is concerned, stabilization is not accompanied by diversification of personal or family data. Inequalities remain or widen, as does wage fixation. These elements create pressure not only on the President but also on DISY and differentiate AKEL's assessment in the most positive way.

50,5% estimate that the President is definitely or rather managing the financial crisis in the right direction. 47,7% have the opposite opinion. Regarding the Cyprus issue, 51,7% believe that the President is definitely working or rather in the right direction as opposed to 42,4%.

Regarding the policies promoted by the parties in the Cyprus issue, 27,2% agree with DISY, 24,5% with AKEL. 13% agree with the policy of DIKO, 7,1% with EDEK, 3,7% with the Citizens' Alliance, 3,2% with EUROCO, 1,8 with Ecologists and 0,8% with ELAM, which records percentages below less than half a point on all issues raised.

The strong paper of DISY is the management of the financial crisis, where it leaves behind AKEL with a difference of 12 points. 33,9% trust the ruling party. 21,2% the party of the Left. 12,7% agree with the policy of DIKO. 4,3% with the Citizens' Alliance, 3,8% with EDEK, 1,7% with EUROCO and 1,4% with the Ecologists.

AKEL has a three-point advantage in social policy. 30,6% give him a vote of confidence compared to 27,4% of DISY. DIKO follows with 12,6%. EDEK with 5,1%, the Alliance with 2,6%, the Ecologists with 2% and the EUROCO with 1,4%.

AKEL also excels in the best management of citizens' interests with 22,1% compared to 20,8% of DISY. 9,9% trust DIKO, 4% trust EDEK, 3,2% the Alliance, 2,5% EUROCO and 1,9% the Ecologists. 33% do not trust any political formation.

On the issue of privatizations, citizens give a slight lead to AKEL policy with 28,8% compared to 28,5% of DISY. 11,1% trust the policy of DIKO, 5% of EDEK, 3,3% of the Alliance, 1,2% of EUROCO and 0,5% of Ecologists.

In the matter of the sale of property, AKEL's policy prevails with 24,2% against 18,4% of DISY, 10,6% of DIKO, 4,4%, 2% of the Alliance, 1,3 of the Ecologists, 1,2% of the EURO.

DISY's views on the opening hours of the stores convince 32,5% of the public opinion, AKEL 26,5%, DIKO 7%, EDEK 2,5%, the Alliance 1,6%, of Ecologists 0,7% and of EUROCO 0,5%.

Regarding GESS, DISY's policy resonates at 21,1%, AKEL at 18,9%, EDEK at 5,6%, DIKO at 5,2%, the Alliance at 2,3% of EUROCO at 0,9% and of Ecologists at 0,2%.

Source: Liberal