Coronavirus: Fears of high death toll - Five SOS questions about what's coming

Experts hope that the hospitalization curve will not follow the same trend, which will depend primarily on vaccination rates in the population.

imgsrc 25 Europe, DEAD, corona virus

New coronavirus infections soar again. Many countries are reinstating restrictive measures. Experts hope that the hospitalization curve will not follow the same trend, which will depend primarily on vaccination rates in the population.

The questions abound. Here are five of what the French Agency poses and answers.

Question: What is the epidemiological situation in Europe?

Απάντηση: The number of weekly cases, which began to rise again in early October, is the highest since the pandemic began, even though test methods have changed a lot since the spring of 2020.

Over the past seven days, an average of 2.125.775 cases or 303.682 per day have been recorded, according to a report compiled by the French Agency based on official sources. This percentage is 13% higher than last week.

The current increase focuses mainly on five countries, which alone account for more than 50% of the new weekly cases in the region: Russia, the United Kingdom, Germany, Turkey and Ukraine.

In the past, the week with the most new cases in 7 days was between 2 and 8 November 2020: 1.988.507 cases in one week. The comparison with the first phase of the pandemic in early 2020 is somewhat complicated because far fewer tests were performed at that time.

Question: Does this increase affect the region as a whole?

Απάντηση"We need to distinguish countries facing a wave, from Ireland to the United Kingdom through the Benelux, Germany, Austria, Romania and Russia," the epidemiologist at the Free University of Brussels told AFP. ULB), Yv Copier.

Among these countries, there are those such as the United Kingdom, "where the hospitalization curve does not follow that of infections due to vaccinations", and the countries of Eastern Europe, with a small number of vaccinated, where it follows more.

"In countries like Spain and Portugal, with extremely high vaccination rates, or Italy, which has taken strong action, the recovery is not yet very visible," he said.

"France is somewhere in between: the resurgence of infections is real but less strong," he said.

The European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) said today that the pandemic situation continues to worsen and is considered "very worrying" in ten countries and "worrying" in ten others.

Among the 27, Belgium, Poland, the Netherlands, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary and Slovenia are in the category of highest concern.

Question: How do countries respond to this outbreak?

Απάντηση: Most want to boost vaccinations. France, for example, has announced that for people over the age of 65, a booster dose of the vaccine is a prerequisite for the validity of their health pass. Still others go a step further, again imposing restrictions similar to those at the beginning of the pandemic.

Norway, which lifted all restrictive measures in late September, will reinstate measures nationwide: so unvaccinated healthcare workers will have to be tested twice a week and put on a mask.

Austria, for its part, said it was waiting for the green light from parliament on Sunday to impose a lockdown on the unvaccinated or those who have not recovered from the coronavirus.

For its part, the Netherlands announced tonight a partial lockdown from tomorrow Saturday, the first "partial lockdown" of this winter in a Western European country.

Question: Should we fear a large number of deaths?

Απάντηση"If we continue on this path, we may see another half a million deaths from it Covid-19 in the region until February ", warned last week the director of the European section of the World Health Organization (WHO).

In the last seven days, the continent recorded 28.216 deaths or an average of 4.031 per day (+ 10% compared to the previous week, + 18% compared to two weeks ago).

Compared to a year ago, the region recorded an average of 3.785 deaths per day on November 8, an increase of 41% compared to the previous week and + 109% compared to the previous week.

The pace of progress is therefore slower than in the same period last year.

"We are witnessing a wave of infection due to the Delta variant and due to the lower temperatures, but vaccination should prevent correlation with hospitalizations," said Yves Kopieter.

"The whole point of this new resurgence is that there is indeed a difference between the indicators, but we will inevitably experience great heterogeneity between countries depending on vaccination coverage."

Question: Are more people vaccinated?

Απάντηση: No, answers Yves Copier. "The key, of course, is to vaccinate those who are most at risk of achieving herd immunity." "For the rest of the population, it is first and foremost necessary to maintain travel restrictions, indoor ventilation and a test policy," he said.

To combat the pandemic, the WHO called last week for vaccinations to continue, masks to be used on a large scale and social distance measures to be implemented.